Over the HILLary

Seems a lot of folks are just that. According to Time magazine, she has every reason to be worried with how things are going. She hasn't fared well lately, assuming a lot of people were on her side that apparently are not. Her recent come back quotes always include the words "Texas" and "Ohio."

While she was in VA for the primary here last week, she was busy doing teleconferences and radio shows in TX and OH. She was on the ground in El Paso before the votes were even counted here and she wasn't the top pick here by far.

Time mag laid out why she has little reason to be so hopeful about Ohio. Apparently it has nearly identical demographics to Missouri. The populations of white, blacks, and Hispanics, as well as young college folk and urban blue collar workers are almost exactly the same and Obama won Missouri.

More importantly, Obama is doing much better among Hispanics than he initially did. He'd did very well in that demographic in Maryland and has been gaining steam. This spells trouble for her assumed victory in Texas.

The article pointed out that Obama has done several things to bring him to this point:
He has consistently gotten to each state before Hillary's people and hired the best locals He has never assumed a victory anywhere He has chosen experience and expertise as well as new ideas over former loyalty when choosing people to run the ground campaign

meanwhile...
Hillary has been tauting herself as the "incumbent" who has already been in the White House

Bill has been hurting her campaign as much as helping it in many ways. For every article on the good he does for her is one on the drag he creates. Besides encouraging the idea that no Dem is going to want to be her VP if Bill is the defacto to that office. It wasn't long ago that Obama pointed that out in a debate. "Sometimes i don't know which of you i am running against."

Eight years ago, many Democrats and non-partisans were quite excited about Hillary's chances. Then she got in the public spotlight and into real politics, out from behind the scenes. Democrats finally saw who they were dealing with and she is quickly becoming feared by as many Dems as Republicans.

Several months back, i learned that one of my good college buddies was working for Obama's campaign. He was pretty much a idealistic (in my point of view, naive) socialist in college, typical to UNC. i was curious why he was supporting Obama over Hillary. His answer was that Hillary even scared him and that he'd leave the country if she even ended up on the ticket WITH Obama.

Either way, my bet is that November 2008 will make more people happy than it did in 1996, 2000, or 2004. Democrats and moderates alike will be happy with either McCain or Obama. And poor Libertarians like me will be praying diligently that the person elected will maybe read the US Constitution...


PS: i'm not counting Hillary out just yet